判断新闻真假的案例-干货

firstuncle

以前以为西方是舆论自由,现在巅覆了,和厉害国不同的是西方新闻是有几个富人控制,厉害国是党控制,西方是伪君子,党是真小人,伪君子更害人,因为假。

今天给你个案例,让你学会如何鉴别真假。

主流媒体臭大街但人的记忆很短暂,社交媒体有真有假需要功力去鉴别,一般人不关注很容易走两个极端,特别信主流,特别信社交,都有缺陷。

那么应运而生的出现一个叫factcheck的一派,很多人去那里去check,我开始也一样,后来发现这些factcheck绝大部分是主流媒体控制的或者大公司掌控,结果是什么不用想。

那事实check有没有积极的一面?当然,在我这是宝藏,我不去看它的结论,我看他们列举的事实是不是符合事实和说服力,如果是,我信,反之,我就明白了。

哈佛案例教学。背景,Dr Urso 在田纳西议会作证关于喵喵健康,

下面是AP 的事实check,先给出结论,当然是否定,不出意外可以忽略。

A roundup of some of the most popular but completely untrue stories and visuals of the week. None of these are legit, even though they were shared widely on social media.

什么内容呢:

Video spreads false claim that vaccine booster shots increase risk of death

CLAIM: People who have received COVID-19 vaccine booster shots are at a greater risk of dying from the virus.

你可以忽略结论和我画红的地方,那是主观判断,不是事实,去看事实:

THE FACTS: Research shows the opposite – booster shots reduce the risk of hospitalization and death, experts said. Footage circulating widely on social media recently shows a doctor telling Tennessee lawmakers that people who get vaccine booster shots are at a higher risk of death from the coronavirus. In the clip, Dr. Richard Urso testifies on March 1 at the House Health Subcommittee of the Tennessee General Assembly on a bill that would ban private businesses and public agencies from enacting rules that treat people considered to have natural immunity from COVID-19 differently from those who are vaccinated. “If you look at the studies in England, in Scotland, and in northern countries in Europe where they get real data, that there, actually, the triple vaccinated are the most likely to die,” said Urso, a Houston-based ophthalmologist.

这段是医生的陈述,细节下面有link。自己去听。

The video of Urso’s testimony has spread across social media platforms. But the claim is false. (主观判断,要有证据支持)No credible evidence has been presented showing that people who get COVID-19 vaccine booster shots are more likely to die, medical and immunology experts told the AP. “There’s really nothing that supports that assertion,” said Francesca Torriani, a professor of clinical medicine at the University of California, San Diego. “It has to be categorized as misinformation.” Ross Kedl, a professor of immunology and biology at the University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, said the data shows the “exact opposite” of Urso’s claim. Kedl cited a March 2022 article in the New England Journal of Medicine that found that booster doses “substantially increased protection” against the omicron variant. “I’ve never seen anything that shows an increased risk of mortality for individuals with the third dose and repeated doses to the vaccines,” said Robert Carpenter, a clinical associate professor at Texas A&M University College of Medicine. “That’s completely false based upon all of the data that is available, everything that I’ve seen both in the U.S. and outside it from reputable sources.”

这一段拿出几个专家去否定claim,专家不是去针对dr 的陈述找事实去辩论,而是帖标签式的定义。

Carpenter cited data published in January 2022 by the U.K. Health Security Agency that determined booster shots significantly reduce the risk of death caused by the omicron coronavirus variant. He also pointed to a December 2021 study published in the New England Journal of Medicine that found that people who received a booster shot had “90% lower mortality” due to COVID-19 than those who did not get a booster. Urso did not respond to the AP’s requests for comment.

终于说依据了,第一个是参考文献是政府的press release,叫PR,商业上PR作为market 材料,政府叫宣传,不必认真看,让我们去深挖第二个参考文献,作者是来自以色列,看不清点击图像。

这篇研究简报疑点很多,众所周知,以色列喵喵接种率非常高,从数据上也可以看出,75万人打了booster,8万人没打booster,都打了两针。

疑点1. 以色列要求都打喵喵,第三针有例外豁免,条件是什么?文中没交代,一个合理的推测是老弱病残,不适合再打喵的了,比如癌症晚期患者,就是说打booster的相对健康,未打的已经不健康了,没几天活头了打不打都会死。

疑点2. 调查周期为50天,在50天内打boost死了65个/75万,未打的死了137个/8万,看比例是未打booster死亡率超高,一种可能是未打booster身体条件差,造成死亡率超高,另外一种假设未打booster健康条件和打的无差别,说明注射两次疫苗死亡率很高,如果特别高说明接种喵喵增加死亡率。其实这个数据没有意义,因为没有比较一针未打的人群做比较。

这两个疑点并没明确说明,因此这个报告属于无效研究,基本是配合政府推广疫苗所做

我去搜了一下医生作证视频,youtube禁止谈论,即使是政府听证会,可能是漏网的吧,我查的唯一的昨天上传的还没下架,可能随时被下,我们要问自己个问题,如果正常,为何不允许讨论?怕什么呢?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PfrcjvbhTSo

做个备份,如果被下架了看不了,去这听听,多听听才是聪明人

https://www.bitchute.com/video/3qqG7TOChsWE/

 

看factcheck要做你的check,到处是陷阱,不要被主观词语和结论所迷惑,你必须练成猴精才能保护自己和家人。

reference:AP的事实check3/11/2022

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评论 
lakelavon - 03/13/22 23:06

现在媒体自媒体都是谣言满天飞. 我早就不信那些所谓的factchecker了。谁来fact check他们?

polebear - 03/13/22 21:59

这篇功课做得足,科学,科学家这两年也被拉下了神坛。普罗大众都得变成了打假专家,大家被逼变成各行各业的专家,真是无可奈何的事情。

汉八刀 - 03/13/22 21:15

2020年大选后就把电视取消了,FB之类的也都把账号关了。伪君子比真小人可恶多了。

Aprilmei - 03/13/22 20:36

我早就cancel Facebook了,太混蛋了!

青箐 - 03/13/22 20:26

我觉得媒体基本都是带风向的,现在客观的媒体很少,自媒体断章取义的也不少。现在社会被这些媒体分裂的厉害,无论左右,我们都是受害者。

南半球夜猫 - 03/13/22 20:46

是,对有兴趣的新闻我现在都要看好几个来源以免被误导

南北方 - 03/13/22 20:20

现在Turker 每天打了好几个Factcheck 的假。哈哈

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